play the percentages

[malder]

как перевести тут playing the percentages?

"Another thing," Sonny said. "My kid brother Mike goes to college in Hanover, New
Hampshire. Get some people we know in Boston to go up and get him and bring him
down here to the house until this blow’s over. I'll call him up so he'll expect them. Again
I'm just playing the percentages, just to make sure."

[Валерий11]

имхо "отрабатываю варианты"

[argonik]

"ставки" сделаны и я отплачу.....